Elections in Ireland: what kind of evil will rule the country?

26.02.2016

The Republic of Ireland faces their next parliamentary elections on the eve of the celebration of the centennial of the proclamation of the independence of the country. The current coalition of centrists and socialists will lose its position; public opinion polls from this year and experts predict a completely different configuration of forces.

Political polarization

Instead of a union between the liberal-centrist party 'Fine Gael' and the Social-Democratic Labour Party in Ireland, it is highly likely there will be a completely new structure of elites, depending on in which side will tilt the scales: left-wing forces that oppose the policy of budgetary savings and execute orders Brussels, or the right. In the case of the latter, centrist Fine Gael will form a coalition with the other centrist force, the Republican Party 'Fianna Fail'. In this case, the continuation of the current policy of the authorities is likely to be embarked on.

Visible success

Moving to the political Olympus forces will be remembered by the Irish people as an unquestioning execution of Brussels' directives on anti-crisis measures. Indeed, after the 2008 crisis, when unemployment in the country rose to 15%, today the exchange of labor is registered at less than 9% of the working population, and in 2015 the economy showed 6.9% growth. In the European information space Ireland is often taken as an example like Greece, who was in a similar situation, but shows a much more modest economic performance. But these seemingly optimistic figures conceal reality - the price that had to be paid for the good statistics of the Irish economy. During 2010-2013, the EU and the IMF were able to almost completely bleed the system of social security in Ireland. For example, if the program of social housing was allocated €1.3 billion in 2007, this figure in 2013 amounted to just €83 million. Their social benefits have also been dramatically reduced, with special charges imposed for prescriptions for medications and even chemotherapy. As a result: a rapid increase in the number of homeless people and people suffering from severe and deadly diseases.

Two ways

The Irish will have to choose: either "consolidate the success of” the centrists, coming in the wake of Brussels or turn towards opponents of austerity measures. A coalition of such forces is likely to be led by the famous party 'Sinn Fein', founded before the independence of Ireland from Britain. However, these forces are unlikely to promise anything good for the Irish people. The once-radical Irish nationalists, closely associated with the IRA, increasingly merge today with the left. In particular, Sinn Fein supported legalization of sodomite unions and promotes the idea of lifting the ban on abortion, which still operates in the once-Catholic country.

Whichever way is chosen at the Irish at elections on February 26th, the main thing will remain unchanged: the commitment of the elites and a large section of the population to the Atlanticist course of erosion of their own identity and state.