The new geopolitical architecture of Latin America
The Triennium 2019-2021 will suppose the irruption in the geopolitical scenario of Latin America of a new implicationist black wave that will consist in the implementation of "soft hand blows" of what would be paradigms Honduras, Paraguay, Ecuador and Bolivia), with the objective unequivocal to replace the regimes insensitive to the dictates of Washington with regimes supervised by the United States, leaving the Great Homeland of Manuel Ugarte as unreachable utopia.
Pacific Alliance, US Trojan Horse
Behind the neoliberal façade of the Pacific Alliance would be a refined geopolitical engineering project whose ultimate purpose would be to dynamite the political-integrationist project represented by UNASUR and to intensify the isolation policy of the progressive-populist governments of the region, especially of Venezuela after being orphaned from the alma mater of the Bolivarian Revolution (Chávez). Another objective would be to finalize the MERCOSUR economic integrator project, an economic integration process created in 1991 after the signing of the Treaty of Asunción between Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, to which Venezuela would later have joined as a State party, leaving Bolivia, Colombia , Peru, Ecuador, Chile, Suriname and Guyana as "Associated States".
This phagocytizing strategy would have as its medium-term objectives to bring together the Pacific Arc to also integrate Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama and finally incorporate Mercosur (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay), following the Kentian theory of "stick and carrot" expounded by Sherman Kent in his book "Strategic Intelligence for North American World Policy" (1949). In this book, Kent states that "war is not always conventional: indeed, a large part of the war, from the remote and the closest, has always been carried out with unconventional weapons: [...] weapons [. ..] political and economic. The kind of war in which [...] (they are) the political war and the economic war ”.
Bolivia and the Evangelical Churches
Upon assuming power in 2006, Evo Morales proceeded to nationalize the main Bolivian extractive zones whose concession was in the hands of companies such as Jindal Steel and South American Silver, thereby engendering the enmity of Anglo-American foreign ministries and went on to swell the ranks of the countries refractory to the dictates of Washington. However, the agreement with Russia for the creation of a nuclear technology center in Bolivia and the agreement with the Chinese company Xinjiang TBEA Group Company for the construction of a lithium carbonate plant in the department of Potosí, would have set off alarms in the Pentagon. Thus, Bolivia would possess 70% of the world's lithium reserves, an essential element for the manufacture of the electric car, but the complexity of its extraction and processing has prevented Bolivia from developing its own industry, lacking the necessary capital and adequate technology, for what after the civil-military soft coup against Evo Morales that would count with the blessings of the Trump Administration and the behind-the-scenes work of the Evangelical Churches. Thus, in Latin America we have witnessed in the last two decades the phenomenon of the irruption of the evangelical churches that emerged in the 1980s under the inspiration and sponsorship of the CIA and, in its version of Latin Americanized evangelical churches, would have managed to draw a new spiritual architecture in the so-called backyard of the United States while they wove a dense network of contacts as undercover CIA agents to overthrow Progressive Presidents like Evo Morales, not being ruled out a subsequent landing of Anglo-American companies after returning Bolivia to the path from docile countries to the USA.
Nicaragua in the Pentagon's crosshairs?
Petrocaribe was created in 2005 at the initiative of Venezuela with the aim of supplying fuels to member countries under advantageous payment terms, such as soft loans and low interest rates, and would be made up of 18 countries (including Honduras, Guatemala, Cuba, Nicaragua, Republic Dominican, Haiti, Belize and a dozen Caribbean islands). The new US strategy would be to strengthen commercial and military ties with the Petrocaribe countries in the face of the danger of mimetic contagion of the Chavista revolutionary ideals by depending exclusively on the Venezuelan Petrocaribe for their energy supply.
On the other hand, China would have taken on the challenge of building a new canal in Nicaragua (Grand Interoceanic Canal) similar to the Kra Isthmus canal that it has projected between Thailand and Burma to circumvent the Strait of Malacca, turned "de facto" into a road maritime saturated and affected by pirate attacks and inaugurated in 2010 the gas pipeline that connects China with Turkmenistan and that surrounds Russia to avoid its total Russian energy dependence while diversifying its purchases, so the US will proceed to destabilize the government of Daniel Ortega within his global geopolitical strategy to dry up Chinese energy sources. Likewise, the installation last April of a Russian satellite station in Managua (Nejapa lagoon) to "control drug trafficking and study natural phenomena" would have caused the nervousness of the Pentagon that accuses Russia of "using Nicaragua to create a sphere of military espionage ”through the Global Navigation Satellite System (Glonass), the equivalent of US GPS.
Consequently, the Trump Administration will resort to the Kentian doctrine, expounded by Sherman Kent in his book "Strategic Intelligence for North American World Policy" (1949). Thus, we have attended the approval by the Congress and the US Senate of the bill known as the Nica Act (Nicaraguan Investment Conditionality Act of 2017), which, following the Kentian strategy, seeks to freeze international loans from US satellite institutions .UU. (World Bank and Inter-American Development Bank). Nicaragua with the avowed objective of causing its financial starvation and subsequent economic suffocation. As a consequence, a new color revolution remote controlled by the US was being prepared to force the dominant elites to hold new general elections with the avowed goal of ending the Sandinista heritage and getting Nicaragua back on the path of democracies. supervised by the USA
Was Venezuela left in geopolitical limbo?
Exxon Mobil would be part of the Fourth Branch of the US Government, (a true shadow power that makes decisions on foreign policy) and was nationalized in 2007 by Hugo Chávez, so at the request of Tillerson, the Chavista revolution She has already been declared a “dangerous enemy of the United States” who wishes to prevent Maduro from perpetuating himself in power, so after a systematic and intense destabilizing campaign based on the selective shortage of basic necessities, obscene speculation, amplification in means of growing citizen insecurity and the application of sanctions to Venezuelan crude to cause default or cessation of payments, we would be attending the final phase of the plot to achieve the defenestration of Maduro, for which Putin's approval seems inevitable .
Trump and Putin would have had a recent telephone conversation in which Putin would have confirmed to Trump their unequivocal will to "not militarily support Maduro" and in this context, we attended the presentation by the US Attorney General, William Barr, of charges against the Chavista cusp that they accuse of "plotting a conspiracy with the FARC to flood the United States with drugs." They also offer a million dollar reward ranging from 10 to 15 million for "providing information that allows the arrest and prosecution of the Chavista summit," including Maduro, Cabello Diosdado, retired generals Carvajal Barrios and Clíver. Alcalá as well as the Minister of Industry, Tareck el Aissami. Given that the Trump Administration would have amortized Juan Guaidó and that Maduro plans to appoint a tailor-made National Electoral Council for the next legislative elections, the United States will move its pieces to force exile to Cuba from the Chavista leadership and the subsequent formation of a Transitional Government made up of consensus figures from both the opposition and Chavismo that will have to prepare new Legislative and Presidential Elections for 2021 on the post-mature stage, Cuba in passing getting the US to suspend the energy blockade on the Island.
Brazil, new neocon gendarme of the USA
Brazil is part of the so-called BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) and although it is ruled out that these countries form a political alliance such as the EU or the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), these countries have the potential to form an economic bloc with a higher status than the current G-8 (it is estimated that in the 2050 horizon they will have more than 40% of the world population and a combined GDP of $ 34,951 Billion). The avowed objective of the USA is to neutralize the Russian and Chinese influence in the South American cone and to get Brazil to assume the role of "gendarme of the neoliberals" in South America, since Brazil plays a fundamental role in the new geopolitical board designed by The United States for Latin America, since it is considered as a potential ally on the global scene that it could support for its entry into the UN Security Council as a permanent member, with the consequent increase in the specific weight of Brazil in Geopolitics. World.
According to ex-President Lula, "the Americans do not bear the fact that Brazil has become a global actor and, deep down, the most they accept is that Brasilia is subordinate, as it already was." Thus, Rousseff, after affirming that "illegal espionage represents a violation of sovereignty incompatible with democratic coexistence between friendly countries," demanded convincing explanations from the United States of the reasons of the National Security Agency (NSA) for allegedly violating computer networks. of the state oil company Petrobras and after his energetic speech at the opening of the 68 United Nations General Assembly (UN), he would have earned the enmity of the US Administration, which proceeded to implement "constructive chaos" in Brazil to destabilize its Presidential mandate (impeachement) and after Bolsonaro's triumph, we will witness the conversion of Brazil into the new "neocon gendarme" of the United States in South America and in addition, with Bolsonaro we could attend Brazil's entry into NATO as a "global partner" as Colombia did in its day.
The IMF and the end of Argentine economic sovereignty
Regarding Argentina, Macri's acceptance of the IMF's postulates meant mortgaging Argentina's economic sovereignty for the next decade. Thus, the contraction of world demand for materials will cause the strangulation of its exports and the depreciation of its currency due to the strength of the dollar, which will translate into increases in production costs, loss of competitiveness, stagflation and spectacular increases in Foreign Debt. In effect, the Argentine economy will be more exposed to a possible appreciation of the dollar and the reversal of capital flows as it is mortgaged by debt maturities for 2020 estimated at around $ 25 billion.
Finally, the Argentine economy pivots in stagflation scenarios (runaway inflation and economic recession) which would be one of the most dangerous combinations for the economy since both elements distort the market and shock therapy to combat economic stagnation has as a secondary effect the increase in inflation. Thus, to encourage consumption and emerge from the recession, therapies based on fiscal and monetary expansion are required, which in the end turns into an explosive circle (secular stagnation) that will have as side effects the sharpening of poverty rates and social conflicts, not being ruled out a subsequent military coup that will count with the blessings of the USA and that will implement a fierce repression against the movements refractory to the dictates of the military autocracy.