RAW + Daesh = Jundallah 2.0
10 Iranian border troops were killed in a shock attack allegedly carried out by Pakistani-based terrorists, though there's much more to this story than any misleading Mainstream Media headline or summary would lead one to believe.
While it's indeed true that this act of terrorism did in fact happen and that the perpetrators purportedly struck from the Pakistani side of the border, Islamabad in no way condones this act of violence or had anything to do with it; to the contrary, the Pakistani officials have harshly condemned the terrorists and offered condolences to the Iranians.
Tehran's reaction, however, wasn't what one would initially expect. Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Bahram Qassemi said that:
"The Pakistani government should be held accountable for the presence and operation of these vicious groups on its soil. Carrying out subversive and terrorist operations by armed bandits and grouplets operating as proxies for those known for promoting violence, extremism and Takfirism on the Iranian-Pakistani border is condemned and unacceptable. The countries that are after joining anti-terrorist coalitions must answer how they are incapable of countering armed bandits and terrorist groups on their own soil."
This is a hyper-politicized statement which clearly indicates that all is not well in Iranian-Pakistani relations, and truth be told, the two sides do have a storied history. It's not the point of this article to delve too deeply into that, but the most recent issue has to do with former Pakistani Chief of Army Staff and retired General Raheem Sharif taking charge of the Saudi-led international military coalition.
Nevertheless, regardless of what one's position may be on that topic, it's not the time or place to insert politicized rhetoric at such a sensitive moment in bilateral relations. However, it's predictable that Iran would indeed react that way, which leads to the next point about who may have really been behind the latest terrorist attack in order to produce this desired response.
It's well-known that India's Research & Analysis Wing (RAW, their version of Mossad) is actively working to destabilize Pakistani Balochistan, and this is proven both from Prime Minister Modi's provocative inclusion of this region in last August's Independence Day speech and the confession of captured Hybrid War operative Kalbushan Jadav. Neither of these made much of a splash in Mainstream Media, though the author did write about them in an article last summer titled "India's Geopolitical Hate For Pakistan Is Sabotaging The North-South Corridor".
That piece put forth the argument that India's clandestine support of terrorism in Pakistani Balochistan as a means to disrupt the game-changing China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) runs the high risk of backfiring by spilling over into the Iranian province of Sistan e Baluchistan, therefore endangering the North-South Corridor which New Delhi is jointly pursuing with Tehran, Baku, and Moscow.
In light of the recent terrorist attack against the Iranian border guards, the idea can be posited that this might have actually been either an intentional RAW operation or related blowback from the agency's anti-Pakistani activities. Whatever the true cause may be, the outcome is inevitably the same -- Iranian-Pakistani relations have suffered because of this, and the result is in India's relative favor.
The Indian establishment -- especially the ruling military, intelligence, and diplomatic "deep state" presided over by National Security Advisor and former spymaster Ajit Doval -- is utterly obsessed with Pakistan and China, thereby making CPEC its worst-ever nightmare. The author extensively analyzed why this project is so revolutionary in a recent Sputnik article titled "What's CPEC, And How Does The Future Of The Multipolar World Depend On It?", and the conclusion is that it reliably provides China with its first-ever non-Malacca access route to the Indian Ocean on which most of its commerce (and therefore national stability) depends.
For reasons best understood through the prism of Modi-Doval's "zero-sum" mentality vis-a-via Pakistan and China as well as India's related military-strategic partnership with the US, CPEC must be stopped at all costs, and the destabilization of the project's terminal point of Pakistani Balochistan is accordingly seen as the "solution".
If the reader takes the time to research the terrorist activities that Kalbushan Jadav was sentenced to death for in Pakistan, then they'd better understand how and why cross-border terrorist groups were created in this region by RAW, which adds credence to the assertion that Indian intelligence was either directly or indirectly behind the organization which attacked the Iranian border guards.
Tehran rightly believes that this group is full of fundamentalist Takfiris, which therefore makes it a spiritual successor of sorts to Jundallah, a terrorist organization which previously operated in this region and was thought to have been destroyed after Iran executed its leader a few years ago. At the time, it was thought that Jundallah was backed in some form by Saudi Arabia, but Jundallah 2.0 -- the terrorists which carried out the latest attack -- is much more likely linked to New Delhi than Riyadh for the reasons expostulated upon above.
Moreover, the Pakistani military has hitherto been very successful in rooting out all terrorist groups -- both domestic and foreign -- from the country's soil since General Sharif launched the legendary Operarion Zarb-e-Azb in 2014, and Islamabad is no longer under the Saudis' sway like it used to be. Pakistan's own "deep state" strategists and related decision makers made a conscious choice a few years back to dedicate themselves to the furtherance of multipolarity, and this explains CPEC and the (Chinese-brokered?) Russian-Pakistani rapprochement, the latter of which has taken the shape of last year's first-ever "Druzhba" joint military exercises and constructive cooperation in bringing peace to Afghanistan.
These positive multipolar advancements have drawn the ire of unipolar-leaning India, however, which is hysterically jealous of Pakistan's new high-level partnership relations with Russia and feverishly wants to counteract them. In this geostratgic context, it is to India's benefit that a RAW-created Daesh-like terrorist group in Pakistani Balochistan kills Iranian border guards because this damages bilateral Iranian-Pakistani relations and therefore impedes diplomatic progress on the delicate Russian-led Afghan peace process in Moscow.
The current state of affairs is that the 11-member reconciliation format is sharply divided into two camps: India, Kabul, and their US backers refuse any talks with the Taliban, while Russia, China, Pakistan, and the Central Asian Republics are in favor of this to differing degrees. Iran has managed to stay somewhat in the middle and hasn't really taken a position one way or another, though it could have been safely assumed until just recently that it would have tacitly sided with its Russian and Chinese partners.
The recent terrorist attack, however, threatens to change all of that and decisively push Iran into the diplomatic Indian-Kabul axis, ironically placing it on the same side as its hated American "Great Satan" foe. To be clear, there doesn't appear to be any existing collaboration or coordination between the US and Iran on Afghanistan despite such links having been proven in the run-up to and immediately following the commencement of the US' 2001 War on Afghanistan, and perception of there presently being so is merely coincidental and a result of Iran being duped into playing the role of a "useful idiot" by RAW.
India's intelligence services wagered that Iran is the weak point in Russia's multipolar peace coalition for Afghanistan, and that its diplomatic "defection" in this respect could handicap any "pro-Taliban" conflict reconciliation efforts there.
Tehran is already suspicious of Moscow's end game motives in Syria as they relate to the Russian-written "draft constitution's" "decentralization" proposals, as well as Russia's rumored intentions regarding the future of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Hezbollah's post-Daesh deployment in the Arab Republic, so Iran might want to "play tough" and "get even" with Russia by behaving as the diplomatic spoiler in Afghanistan. Additionally, Iranian-Pakistani relations have a lengthy history of ups and downs, and all that it would take to throw their future in jeopardy is a cross-border terrorist attack such as the one which just transpired.
On top of it all, Iran is bracing for a potentially renewed period of international (Western) "isolation" following the Trump Administration's clear signals that it intends to backtrack on the nuclear deal and accelerate multifaceted Hybrid War destabilizations (Kurds, Daesh, Baloch, Color Revolutions, sanctions, etc.) against the Islamic Republic, so Tehran might be betting that it could mitigate some of the economic-strategic consequences of this by more closely cooperating with its nearby Indian partner per the natural resources trade and Chabahar terminal project on the North-South Corridor.
Regardless of whatever "bad blood" exists between Russia and Iran despite their officials' vehement public statements to the contrary, both sides inevitably need one another for reasons of pure pragmatism, so a potential falling out between the two in Syria and Afghanistan isn't expected to have many tangible consequences in terms of trade and other real-sector joint collaborations such as military exports and energy investments.
Grand Dreams (And Disaster)
Having mitigated the consequences of contradicting Russia's peace efforts in Afghanistan, Iran might be calculating that it can also simultaneously reap bountiful economic dividends from India and Kabul. New Delhi's stalled and behind-schedule Chabahar project holds the promise -- key word -- of one day extending to Afghanistan and the Central Asian Republics, thereby making Iran the doubly pivotal state for India's trade with both the EU and those aforementioned countries.
In this manner, Iran's experienced diplomats plan to finally fulfill what they believe to be their civilization-state's destiny by masterfully positioning it at the center of Eurasian geopolitics by having their country serve as an equally strategic crossroads for multisided Central Asian, Chinese, European, Indian, and Russian trade per the North-South Corridor, the related Afghan-Central Asian branch lines, and the New Silk Road.
India understands Iran's ambitions and is trying to manipulate them via RAW-created false flag terrorism that it conveniently blames on Pakistan, all with the intent of harming Iranian-Pakistani relations and therefore hamstringing the Russian-led Afghan peace process. This in turn provides Iran with a "publicly plausible" guise for deepening full-spectrum relations with India out of "zero-sum" spite against Pakistan, manifested by taking it and Kabul's side against holding talks with the Taliban in exchange for the promise of lucrative compensation through the North-South Corridor's planned Afghan and Central Asian branches.
Iran would do well, however, to recognize that its latest hostile reaction against Pakistan is the result of Indian manipulation, and that its long-term geostrategic plans have already been hijacked by RAW. For as characteristically self-confident as Tehran is that it can emerge as Eurasia's premier civilizational crossroads through its ongoing delicate "balancing" act, it's deliberately downplaying the risk that India poses to regional stability and consequently Iran's own connectivity vision.
India's obsession with Pakistan and China means that any Iranian-facilitated extension of its influence to Afghanistan and Central Asia will be designed to aggressively compete with its rivals and reverse their established gains. More than likely, as evidenced by RAW's utilization of Daesh-like tactics to create Jundallah 2.0, this won't be peaceful and could inadvertently lead to unforeseen conflicts which might forever shatter any hopes for sustainable multipolar connectivity in the region.
To reference the present article's title, RAW + Daesh = Jundallah 2.0, and this terrorist group is being exploited as India and its American ally's preferred agent of geopolitical change in dividing Eurasia through the tactical provocation of tensions between Iran and Pakistan.
The intent behind reopening this regional division is to sabotage the Russian-led Afghan peace process and create a conduit for pumping anti-Chinese Indian influence into the Central Asian space.
Iran is being manipulated by India if it truly believes that Pakistan is to blame for the recent terrorist attack against its border forces in Balochistan, and any counterproductive anti-Islamabad statements or actions undertaken by Tehran are playing right into New Delhi's hands (and by extent, India's newfound American and "Israeli" allies' too).
For as worldly, well-read, and wise as Iranian strategists and decision makers are rightly regarded as being, they appear to have never heard of the infamous Indian thinker Chanakya (also known as Kautilya) and his manipulative masterpiece Arthashastra.
If Iranians had even a passing familiarity with this man and his work, let alone the influence that they wield over India's "deep state" nowadays, then they would never have jumped to conclusions by making it seem as though Pakistan is in any way at fault for the recent terrorist attack in Balochistan.
Pakistan and Iran are both being victimized by India, although only Islamabad recognizes the state of Hybrid War that it's in while Tehran remains blissfully unaware of this reality as it imagines all of the geostrategic glory that it's convinced will result from working more closely with New Delhi.
Iran urgently needs to read up on Chanakya and study his writings before rashly responding to any more forthcoming terrorist incidents which it's being manipulated to blame on Pakistan, as failure to do so could contribute to Iran being exploited as a unipolar 'cat's paw' for complicating the emergence of the Multipolar World Order which it's already sacrificed so much to build.